iPod, iPhone, iPad… now the “I Bond”

Similar to the steady stream of successful products developed by Apple, it seems the US government hit a homerun with the “I Bond”.  Although this US government savings instrument is not a new product, popularity is spiking (along with inflation) in 2022.  Through mid-June the government sold $14.4 billion of I Bonds, which is 40x more than was sold in all of 2020!  We are receiving a number of questions about “I Bonds”.  As interest rates and inflation increase in 2022, the headline attractiveness of this product is enhanced.

So what is a “Series I Savings Bond”?  What should investors know about this product?

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“Goes Without Saying” and a “Stitch In Time” – Nvest Nsights Q1 Newsletter

After nearly two years of strong market gains, investors experienced their first meaningful pullback during the first quarter of 2022.  While it is typical for markets to experience pullbacks and a higher level of volatility after the initial 12-18 months of a new bull market, it is never welcomed or comfortable.  That is probably because the uncertainties that usually accompany them are always unique.  Present uncertainties include a still fractured global supply chain, a Federal Reserve that finds itself needing to raise interest rates and tighten monetary policy in pursuit of arresting inflation that is running at the hottest pace in 40 years; and of course Russia/Ukraine which muddies both challenges further.

This quarter our Nvest Nsights newsletter shares what we’re watching and perspective to the topics/questions we’re most frequently hearing from clients.  Perhaps it “Goes Without Saying” that the backdrop highlighted above implies 2022 will likely remain a challenging year; but there are also some important messages to be heeded from history.  There is also the saying that “A stitch in time saves nine”;  while ‘main street’ consumers may not welcome rising interest rates and the impact on the cost of borrowing (or the markets in the short term) it is nonetheless appropriate for the longer-term health of the economy.  The markets are adjusting to a changing investment landscape.  We close the update with our personal finance theme article with a change coming to employer 401k statements this year.  Will the new Lifetime Income Estimates being provided help you feel more secure?

A printer-friendly version of the full quarterly newsletter, including benchmarking and fund performance data, can be obtained here: Q1 Nvest Nsights

As always, please do not hesitate to let us know if you have any questions or would like to coordinate a time to visit.

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401k Lifetime Income Estimates… Will You Feel More SECURE?

If you are fortunate enough to have a company sponsored 401K plan, you will likely see some new (and potentially confusing) illustrations on your statements in the coming months.  The changes are related to the 2019 Secure Act passed by congress.  The mandate requires 401k administrators to provide an estimate of “guaranteed lifetime income” assuming your current 401K was completely “annuitized”.

What does it mean to “annuitize” your current 401k balance?  Continue reading

“Lowdown on 2021” and the “Journey into ’22” – Nvest Nsights Q4 Newsletter

Happy New Year!  2021 provided a second, actually a third, consecutive year of double-digit investment returns for stocks (most forget 2019 because of how quickly the mood soured in early 2020).

This edition of our quarterly newsletter, Nvest Nsignts provides “the lowdown” on what themes drove the financial markets during 2021.  Perhaps of greater interest is our sharing of what we believe will be the biggest focus for investors as we “Journey into 2022“.  Our personal finance focus this quarter, “Healthy Habits” shares several easy-to-implement “resolutions” that can pack a powerful punch to enhance your long-term financial posture as you set plans for the New Year.

A printer-friendly version of the full quarterly newsletter, including benchmarking and fund performance data, can be obtained here: Q4 Nvest Nsights

As always, please do not hesitate to let us know if you have any questions or would like to coordinate a time to visit.Continue reading

Healthy Habits

Are you setting New Year’s resolutions in pursuit of being a better version of you? Health and finance are two common areas of resolution focus.  When it comes to being healthy, people often resolve to sit less (move more), eat more nutritious foods, and of course exercise.  On the personal finance side, the most common ideas are to spend less and/or save more.  Sounds simple, but how can we make the resolution more intentional and enhance the probability of success… and your long-term financial “journey”?

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“All of the Above” Multiple Choice Questions & Pivot Points – Nvest Nsights Q3 Newsletter

With the 3Q now complete but the stock market seemingly more choppy since September, investors wonder if the final 3 months of the year and 2022 might offer a resumption of upward trend.  For most, it’s a difficult consideration amid the confluence of BIG Government-related issues ranging from significant spending and tax proposals (infrastructure and social programs), a potential government shutdown (debt ceiling), whether Fed Chair Powell will be reappointed, and more.

In this quarter’s update, “All of the Above” we review the reasons we see for the stock market losing momentum in recent months, September in particular.  We also believe that the Great Lockdown response to COVID will be viewed as a “Pivot Point” in a variety of ways, but including how investors think about inflation, interest rates, and asset allocation.  Related, September 30 marked the 40th anniversary of a secular bull market for bonds.  What might the next 40 look like?

The personal finance discussion this quarter provides a quick summary of what we see are the most likely tax changes coming as a result of current proposals.  As you might imagine, this is a topic arising in most every client conversation this year and we hope you find the quick bullet format helpful.

A printer-friendly version of the full quarterly newsletter, including benchmarking and fund performance data, can be obtained here: Q3 Nvest Nsights

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(Tax) Change is in the Air

It is often said that there are just two certainties in life: Death and Taxes. Or how about “the only constant in life is change”? In 2021, it is hard to recall a client conversation where the topic of potential tax policy changes did not arise. Since COVID, government policy was all about huge stimulus and spending; as we shift our attention to the final quarter of 2021 and beyond, the conversation is increasingly about how all additional spending proposals will be paid for (via taxes – both corporate and personal).

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“Ruff & Reddy” and “Hotel California” – Nvest Nsights Q2 Newsletter

On June 30, the S&P500 enjoyed its 34th new closing high of the year, and is now up roughly 95% from its March 2020 low.  Remarkable!  Our first article, “Ruff & Reddy” reviews the catalysts behind this powerful advance, but also that under the surface there is rotation underway and broader market momentum is softening.  This is normal in the second year of a new bull market and is often accompanied by more volatility.  Government remains a key factor for the prospect of volatility as well.  In that regard, the lyrics of the 1976 Eagles song “Hotel California” may be a good summary of the challenge government may face when they at some point attempt to walk-back from deficit spending or target inflation.  In a different way, the song’s lyrics may be spun toward appropriate guidance for individual investors too.

The personal finance article this quarter, “Is Your Beachbody Ready for Summer?“, shares a client’s motivation to participate in a recent stock IPO.  We are often asked by clients about various investment ideas – ranging from ‘meme-stocks’, bitcoin, or real estate; this client’s thoughtful approach to an investment receiving lots of buzz provided a refreshing and textbook example of how to avoid potentially unhealthy financial behavior.

A printer-friendly version of our quarterly newsletter can be obtained here: Q2 Nvest Nsights

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Is Your BeachBody Ready for Summer?

Meme stocks, Real-Estate, Initial Public Offering (IPOs), Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPACs), Bitcoin, and Precious Metals – what do all of these share in common? Each is an example of an investment or asset currently receiving lots of “buzz” and client curiosity. While we do not typically follow these items intimately and prefer the diversification and liquidity of traditional mutual funds, bonds, and ETFs, we do not necessarily have anything against a client owning other assets when the exposure is properly managed. We do encourage anyone exploring ideas that are receiving intense attention from the media or “peers” to proceed with caution as the waters are often dangerous. If we were lifeguards at the beach, we would hang the yellow flag on the chair, “proceed with caution.”

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“Green Light = GO!” – Nvest Nsights Q1 Newsletter

March marked the one-year anniversary of last year’s stock market low, as COVID fears continued to intensify and lockdowns were beginning.  Since that time, a flood of government support prevented the economy from enduring a depression and fueling a remarkable market rebound.

The first quarter of 2021 provided investors additional growth.  Another round of government stimulus and an accelerating pace of vaccination is driving optimism unleashing pent-up demand, reinforcing the investment theme “Green Light = Go!“.  Yet returns tend to be less exuberant and more volatile as new bull markets enter their second year.  This is not a “bearish” forecast; but rather an acknowledgement that market dynamics can be more frustrating in “Year Two Following the Low” even as economic fundamentals become more robust.

Indeed we are already experiencing a more choppy start to 2021.  Much of the volatility relates to concerns about inflation – a topic of frequent client questions as the huge sums of government spending are recognized.  The “Roaring 20s” was a decade of surging economic growth following recovery from wartime devastation and pent-up demand.  100 years later, there are some interesting parallels and other key ingredients causing many to wonder if higher inflation is on the way and how it may impact their portfolios.

Our personal finance article this quarter, “ARPA What?”, reviews how the most recent economic stimulus package is way more than direct payments to individuals/families; some strategic planning opportunities exist for many even if they do not qualify for a stimulus check.

A printer-friendly version of our quarterly newsletter can be obtained here: Q4 Nvest Nsights

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